The most accurate pollster from the 2020 election has released a poll that shows Trump leading in the big three swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania among likely voters.
Atlas Intel shows Trump also leading Arizona and Georgia (barely), while Kamala leads in Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.
Here’s the poll from Interactive Polls:
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 51% (+2.9)
🟦 Harris: 48.1%
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WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 49.7% (+1.5)
🟦 Harris: 48.2%
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MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 50.6% (+3.4)
🟦 Harris: 47.2%
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 49.6% (+0.6)
🟦 Harris: 49%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 49.8% (+1.2)
🟦 Harris: 48.6%
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NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 50.5% (+2.8)
🟥 Trump: 47.7%
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NORTH CAROLINA
🟦 Harris: 50.5% (+2.4)
🟥 Trump: 48.1%
Assuming this poll is correct, Trump would win the election with 274 delegates.
As Joe Concha pointed out, Atlas Intel was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election:
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