The landscape of the 2024 presidential race is rapidly evolving after new polling data emerged from Pennsylvania, a battleground state that has been a bellwether for national sentiment in past elections. New figures from an Emerson College poll could signal a turning point in the race.
Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris, 51% to 49%, after undecided voters’ preferences are distributed. This does represent a tightening of the race compared to last month’s results, where Trump led Harris 51% to 45% among very likely voters. However, a string of polling released from the state over the past few weeks reliably showed Harris leading in the Keystone State. Emerson’s newest data firmly bucks that trend.
Electorally, Trump appears to retain his edge over Harris on pivotal issues such as the economy and immigration—domains where his policies have resonated with certain voter segments. However, Harris shows improvement from Joe Biden’s previous performance on both issues.
🚨BREAKING: President Trump up +2 in Pennsylvania in a new Emerson College poll:
Trump: 51%
Kamala: 49% pic.twitter.com/VJ66bwBCtf
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) August 16, 2024
The poll also dove into the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, where incumbent Democrat Bob Casey (D-PA) is