Early data from Duval County, a key bellwether in U.S. elections, is sending waves through the political landscape—and it’s not looking good for Kamala Harris and the Democrats. Duval, which famously predicted the presidential winners in both 2016 and 2020, has swung hard to the right in early mail-in voting data, signaling a seismic shift that could spell disaster for the Democrats in 2024.
The numbers speak for themselves. Republican mail-in ballot requests in Duval have surged by 7% compared to 2020, while Democratic requests have plummeted by 4.6%. The GOP now enjoys a staggering 11.5-point swing, with a 36.7% share of mail-in requests, compared to 46.1% for Democrats. Even independent and third-party voters, typically a wild card, have dropped by 2.3%.
Duval County’s rightward swing is not an isolated incident. Florida, long considered a battleground state, has been inching toward the GOP in recent years. Governor Ron DeSantis’s overwhelming reelection win in 2022 was a harbinger of this trend. Yet, what’s happening in Duval is even more striking: the county’s mail-in voting numbers are now redder than they were in 2022, a year when Republicans cleaned up in Florida.
🚨 BREAKING: KEY U.S. BELLWETHER COUNTY BOLTS TO THE