Final NYT/Siena Poll Shows Harris, Trump Leading in Different Key Battleground States – EVOL

The poll suggests each candidate has multiple pathways to secure the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are leading the race in different key swing states two days before the election, according to the final poll released by The New York Times/Siena College on Nov. 3.

The poll, which queried likely voters, found Harris is leading Trump 49–46 percent in Nevada, 48–46 percent in North Carolina, 49–47 percent in Wisconsin, and 48–47 percent in Georgia. Trump leads 49–45 percent in Arizona, while both candidates are tied 48–48 and 47–47 in Pennsylvania and Michigan, respectively.

Almost all polling results fall within the margins of error, making the race for the White House a statistical tie.

Across the seven battleground states in total, Harris leads by a narrow 1 point over Trump, 48–47 percent. FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average similarly has Harris leading by just 1 percent over the former president ahead of Election Day.

A tumultuous and unprecedented presidential race is coming to a close after the last four months saw two assassination attempts on Trump, President Joe Biden unexpectedly dropping out of the race following a poor debate performance, and Harris’s rapid rise

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