Democrats just received another brutal wake-up call as November looms closer. A recent poll conducted by Roanoke College indicates that former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden are tied in the traditionally blue state of Virginia. Both candidates garnered 42% support in a head-to-head matchup, signaling a competitive race as the 2024 presidential election approaches. This marks the first time the Roanoke College Poll has shown a tie between the two for the blue-leaning state.
The poll, conducted by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, surveyed 711 likely voters in Virginia between May 12 and May 21, 2024. When other candidates are included in the mix, Biden holds a narrow lead with 40% of the vote compared to Trump’s 38%. One of the key takeaways from the poll is the level of certainty and enthusiasm among voters.
In 2020, Biden won Virginia by a margin of 10 percentage points over the Republican incumbent. Biden received 54% of the vote, while Trump secured 44%. This continued the trend of Virginia leaning Democratic in presidential elections, a pattern that has been consistent since 2008. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Virginia by a smaller margin of 5.3